Correlations in Division 1 Men’s and Women’s Lacrosse

Linear Regression
Indicator Variables
How much of an impact does winning the draw/face-off have on the final results of a lacrosse game?
Authors
Affiliation

Jill Tyrrell

St. Lawrence University

Ivan Ramler

St. Lawrence University

Published

April 5, 2025

Module

Introduction

Lacrosse has seen tremendous growth over the years, with rising popularity and participation elevating the sport to new levels. This evolution has led to an increase in skilled athletes competing in high-level leagues, such as NCAA Division I lacrosse. In both the men’s and women’s game, gaining possession off the faceoff (men’s) or draw control (women’s) is a crucial factor in determining success. Because of their significant impact, many players specialize in these areas, as securing possession provides teams with valuable offensive opportunities that can greatly influence the outcome of a game.

Data

The data set contains 72 rows and 22 columns. Each row represents a men’s lacrosse team at the NCAA Division 1 level from the 2022-2023 season.

Variable Description
Team College of the team
avg_assists Average assists to goals per game
avg_caused_turnovers Average turnovers forced by the team per game
clearing_pctg Percentage of successful attempts to earn an offensive opportunity after gaining the ball in the team’s own half
total_faceoffs Total faceoffs taken by a team for the season
faceoff_wins Total faceoff wins by a team for the season
faceoff_win_pct Proportion of total faceoff wins out of total faceoffs
avg_goals Average goals per game
avg_goals_allowed Average goals allowed by the team per game
avg_ground_balls Average loose balls picked up by the team per game
man_down_defense_pctg Proportion of times a team stops the opponent from scoring while man down due to a penalty
man_up_offense_pctg Proportion of times the offense scores out of total opportunities while man up
avg_scoring_margin Average margin of goals per game
opp_clear_pctg Opponents’ clearing percentage averaged by game
avg_points Average team points per game
avg_saves Average saves per game
shot_pctg Proportion of shots that go in out of total shots
avg_turnovers Average turnovers that are directly the fault of a player per game
W Total wins by the team
L Total losses by the team
win_loss_pctg Proportion of games won out of total games

This data set contains 120 rows and 18 columns. Each row represents a women’s lacrosse team at the NCAA Division 1 level from the 2022-2023 season.

Variable Description
Team The name of the women’s NCAA lacrosse team
draw_pctg Draw percentage, the proportion of draw controls won by the team in a game. Equivalent to the faceoff percentage in men’s lacrosse.
turnovers_per_game Average number of turnovers committed by the team per game.
sog_per_game Shots on goal (SOG) per game, the average number of shots on goal taken by the team.
assists_per_game Average number of assists made by the team per game.
caused_turnovers_per_game The average number of caused turnovers by the team per game.
clearing_pctg Clearing percentage, the rate at which the team successfully clears the ball from defense to offense.
draw_controls_per_game The average number of draw controls won by the team per game.
fouls_per_game Average number of fouls committed by the team per game.
free_position_pctg Free position percentage, the rate of successful free position shots taken by the team.
ground_balls_per_game The average number of ground balls scooped by the team per game.
points_per_game Average number of total points (goals + assists) scored by the team per game.
save_pctg Save percentage, the proportion of shots on goal saved by the team’s goalkeeper.
goals_allowed_per_game Average number of goals allowed by the team’s defense per game.
goals_per_game Average number of goals scored by the team per game.
shots_per_game Average number of total shots (on goal + off target) taken by the team per game.
shot_pctg Shooting percentage, the proportion of shots on goal that result in a goal.
win_pctg The team’s winning percentage, calculated as the number of wins divided by total games played.

Note: The table provides a brief description of each variable, but more context and understanding might be required to interpret and analyze these statistics effectively in the context of women’s NCAA lacrosse.

The data set contains 192 rows and 6 columns. Each row represents a lacrosse team at the NCAA Division 1 level from the 2022-2023 season. Teams come from both the men’s and women’s division.

Variable Description
Team College of the team
faceoff_win_pct The proportion of faceoffs won out of total faceoffs taken
shots_per_game Average amount of shots per game
shot_pctg Proportion of shots that are goals out of total shots
win_loss_percentage Amount of wins out of total games played
Division The division the team is in (Men’s or Women’s)

References

NCAA Website: Division I Lacrosse

http://stats.ncaa.org/rankings/change_sport_year_div

There are three data sets: 2022-2023 statistics for Men’s teams, 2022-2023 statistics for Women’s teams, and a data set combining the Men’s and Women’s statistics (that only includes the variables available in each of the other two).

The learning objectives associated with this module are:

  • Statistical Interpretation: Analyzing key regression metrics
  • Comparative Analysis: Comparing the impact of draw wins on game outcomes between men’s and women’s lacrosse to identify differences in predictive strength
  • Interaction Effects: Evaluating how the relationship between draw wins and game wins varies by division and understanding interaction terms in regression.

Materials

data - data sets containing statistics from the 2022-2023 statistics for Men’s teams, 2022-2023 statistics for Women’s teams, and a datas et combining the Men’s and Women’s statistics SCORE Network Data Repository

worksheet - questions about statistical interpretation, comparing the impact of draw wins on game outcomes between men’s and women’s lacrosse to identify differences in predictive strength, and evaluating how the relationship between draw wins and game wins varies by division and understanding interaction terms in regression.

worksheet answers - answer key for the worksheet

Students should find that overall, winning the draw/faceoff in the women’s division is more crucial and important to the games overall outcome than in the men’s division.